Posts Tagged Apple

Like it or not, the iPad is different.

The iPad 2

Many experts agree that the iPhone’s competitors sell primarily on price. Make the iPhone cheaper than all Android competitors, and Android would be pushed to the sidelines.

Ever since the iPad came out in April 2010, I’ve been hearing the same mantra whenever I talk about the iPad: Apple’s got about a year before they start losing market share. There’s no way they would maintain their dominance of the tablet market, and they stand to lose market share very rapidly, just as they lost it with the iPhone. Eventually the iPad would become just another speck in the tablet marketplace.

My first impression has been that this is probably true. After all, how would Apple — a premium, high-end brand — retain such a significant lead in the ultra-price-sensitive consumer electronics industry, and particularly with tablets — a product category that every major manufacturer has got their eyes on? That’s almost like Porsche aiming to outsell Toyota.

But I believe the iPad is different. It’s different because with iPad, Apple seems to take a somewhat different approach. Rather than pricing it as high as they could afford to (which is clearly what they’ve been doing with most of their products), they’ve priced this one in preparation for a fierce pricing battle with their competitors. It looks as though with iPad, Apple finally compromised and went with minimal margins, determined to maintain long-term market dominance.

Now, many experts agree that the iPhone’s competitors sell primarily on price. Make the iPhone cheaper than all Android competitors, and Android would be pushed to the sidelines. How many consumers (not counting developers/early-adopters/tech-geeks) do you know that would intentionally pick Android over iPhone, if it weren’t for the price difference? I don’t think I’ve ever met one.

Before you try and argue with that one, try and compare smartphone market share by price. Rather than comparing overall iPhone vs. Android sales, compare $600 Android phones vs. the iPhone (which sells for roughly $600 to operators). You might be surprised to learn that the (admittedly few) iPhone competitors selling at that price range are selling at insignificant quantities compared to the iPhone. In other words, there’s a reason why Apple is making all this money: They are successfully selling their amazingly-expensive iPhones in massive quantities. They may not hold the largest market share, but they are by far the most profitable player in this business.

What would happen if Apple were to give up their “Apple tax”, and compromise on lower margins in an effort to achieve and maintain market share?

The question I’d like to ask is: What would happen if Apple were to give up their “Apple tax”, and compromise on lower margins in an effort to achieve and maintain market share? I believe that is what’s happening with the iPad. Let’s take a look at some numbers.

The Average Selling Price (ASP) of the iPhone is around $630, and iSuppli estimated its Bill of Materials (BOM) at around $180. The ASP of the iPad is also around $630, but can you guess its BOM? Around $250 for the entry level model.

iPad iPhone
Estimated ASP $630 $635
Estimated BOM $250 $182
Estimated Gross Margin 40% 60%

In other words, with the iPad Apple clearly chose to forego some of their profits in order to achieve extremely competitive pricing. And here’s the other point: While a 40% gross margin may sound generous, it is based on the extremely aggressive pricing Apple gets from its manufacturing partners and component vendors due to Apple’s massive manufacturing volumes. This means that for most of Apple’s competitors, competing with the iPad on pricing is going to be damn near impossible.

So the question remains: Assuming the iPad remains one of the cheapest tablets around, what would possibly entice consumers to choose their competitor’s products?

I believe the answer is that unless competitors release products with significant functional advantages, or alternatively, with significant pricing advantages (highly unlikely, in my opinion), Apple will easily maintain its market dominance, at least for the foreseeable future.

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Why Apple is Winning

In trying to gauge and estimate market forces, I find that people often fail to recognize the importance of corporate values, and just how strongly they affect the outcome of various ongoing industry battles: Android vs. iPhone vs. Nokia, Apple vs. Flash, etc., are all far better understood when viewed from a company values standpoint. You see, a corporation is like an individual human being in the sense that it has core values — top priority issues that matter the most to its top brass, and therefore (hopefully) also to its very last employee. As a side-note, companies that fail to convey such values to their employees usually fail at the outset, and are not part of this discussion.

You might assume that in every major corporation, those values are identical: Making money. I think that’s absolutely not the case. Sure, revenues and profitability are key, but ultimately it depends on what matters most to the company’s leaders, and surprisingly enough, money isn’t always it. Take Steve Jobs, for instance. It seems rather clear to me that he doesn’t spend his days pondering what he can do to generate more revenue for Apple. He spends them thinking how he can make Apple “win the game”, deliver superior user-experiences, etc.

This is critically important because it helps us understand what drives the various decisions made by these companies. Take Google, for example. Clearly Google is a engineering-driven company, with an emphasis on technological innovations and openness. This hugely impacts their various product decisions, and is evident when looking at Android, for example. Android is open in a way that only makes sense to someone who places openness as a value. Unfortunately, openness and user experience often conflicts, which is why Apple tends to design their products to be as open as they need to be, but no more. That is why Apple’s products tend to be pretty closed.

The reason for the phenomenal success Apple has seen in recent years is just how amazingly focused it’s been, and just how right its values turned out to be. Apple focuses on user experience, and pretty much on nothing else. That has allowed them to produce, overall, vastly superior products compared to their competitors. It has also driven them to create smaller, focused product lines with clear differentiation.

For instance, Lenovo currently offers over 13 unique laptop product lines, each with its own configuration options. By comparison, Apple offers three such laptop product lines. They choose to compromise flexibility in favor of simplicity, thereby simplifying the customer’s selection process and ensuring a more enjoyable shopping experience.

When looking at Apple’s competitors, I see strong focus on revenue generation through massive technological investment, the creation of vast product lines to suit any type of customer, and investment in endless feature lists, in the belief that features ultimately sell products. This is how Microsoft, Nokia, Samsung, LG, and countless other companies seem to think about their business. The reason why Apple is growing so much faster than all of these companies, is that their values just seem to make more sense.

Another example: Looking at the average Windows laptop, I find it mind boggling that Microsoft still allows their hardware partners (Lenovo, Dell, HP, and the others) to install all of their redundant software on top of Windows 7. A separate WiFi management tool, display settings tool, various control panel applets, product advertisements, you name it. Windows 7 includes excellent tools for managing all of these features, why on earth does Microsoft allow their partners to damage their customer’s user experience for their own selfish interests? Surely Microsoft is powerful enough to force (or incentivize) them to sell their hardware with plain vanilla Windows systems?

The reason, once again, is values. Microsoft is thinking of business relationships and politics, and placing that consideration ahead of user experience. It’s even possible that they might not see it as a compromise, but rather as a natural arrangement with their hardware partners. Apple takes the other extreme, completely hiding the existence of their various partners in their products (notice the lack of any kind of Intel sticker on Intel Macs, for example), because it typically makes the products simpler to use and nicer to look at.

My theory? Companies will continue to have a challenging uphill battle against Apple, until they realize that they need to rethink their core values, and place a far greater emphasis on user experience, placing it before other considerations such as feature lists, huge product lines to accommodate all tastes, and yes, even revenues.

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Has Apple been developing some battery optimization tricks?

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In the midst of a flurry of announcements from Apple, I’ve been particularly interested in the little 13″ Macbook Pro. I currently use the Aluminum Unibody 13″ MacBook and I was curious about Apple’s “7 hour” battery claim for the new model. The first thing I did once the Apple Online Store came back online was to check the battery size of the new model versus the old one, and ensure they kept the same size and weight.

The conclusion is that the new 13″ MBP is the exact same size and weight, but that its battery stores about 29% more energy than the Aluminum Unibody model it replaces (58 watts in the new non-removable battery, versus 45 watts in the old model’s removable battery). This means that the real world numbers for the 13″ MBP are going to be excellent — 7 hours is probably an unrealistic number, but 5 hours of real-world use is very likely.

The thing that makes me wonder is, how do they do it? Is it possible that 30% of the battery’s weight and volume is in its removable enclosure? Or has Apple perhaps learned some neat chemical tricks that allow them to pack a bit more energy into a given amount of space? Is that also how they managed to upgrade the new iPhone 3GS’s battery life the way they did?

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